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Why Truman’s 1948 upset is no template for the 2024 U.S. presidential election, according to the expert who wrote the book on polling failure
In their respective polls, Gallup and Crossley projected Dewey’s victory by 5 percentage points. Truman carried the popular vote by 4.5 points and won 303 electoral votes to Dewey’s 189.
The American Conservative4y
A Dewey-Beats-Truman Moment in the Offing?
That’s exactly what happened in 1948, the extraordinary upset that saw President Harry Truman win reelection against New York Governor Thomas Dewey. Few observers predicted that result at the ...
PBS7y
The 1948 Presidential Election
1948 - Truman runs against Thomas E. Dewey, the Republican nominee in the 1948 presidential election. The scientific pollsters, including George Gallup, all predicted that Dewey would beat Truman.